A Tale of 3 Pelicans

You get to choose

Source: Matthew Hinton, The Times-Picayune

From left to right: The brown pelican as it looks when healthy; the brown pelican as it looks as either having some oil on it OR as a teenager; the brown pelican as it looks after a dunking in BP's Gulf mess. 

Question: Which of the 3 pelicans is most likely to die next??

Ask BP which pelican they'd select . . . maybe they'd select one of the 3 seagulls instead.  They're not much on wild life it seems.  

But does it matter which one they'd choose?  It's just going to be a matter of time and disinterest on BP's part before all those pelicans and seagulls are dead, injured, or otherwise compromised.